Here are my predictions – well, they’re only nominally predictions, in many cases they’re closer to abject guesses – for who’s going to win what at the Academy Awards tonight.
It’s worth noting what the bracketed entries mean – I do these with a friend each year, and it’s three points for your first guess, two for second, one for third. So the brackets are what’s next-most-likely, from my ill-informed vantage point.
You can find the full list of nominees here, if you – like me – tend to forget what the rest of them actually are. Otherwise, my predictions are as follows:
Best Picture – A Star is Born (Green Book, Roma)
Best Director – Alfonso Cuarón (Spike Lee, Yorgos Lanthimos)
Best Cinematography – Roma (The Favourite, Cold War)
Best Actress – Glenn Close (Lady Gaga, Olivia Colman)
Best Actor – Rami Malek (Viggo Mortensen, Christian Bale)
Best Supporting Actress – Regina King (Amy Adams, Rachel Weisz)
Best Supporting Actor – Richard E Grant (Mahershala Ali, Sam Eliott)
Best Original Screenplay – Roma (First Reformed, Green Book)
Best Adapted Screenplay – BlackKklansman (Can You Ever Forgive Me?, If Beale Street Could Talk)
Best Foreign Language Film – Cold War (Roma, Shoplifters)
Best Animated Feature – Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse (Isle of Dogs, Incredibles 2)
Best Animated Short – Bao
Best Live Action Short – Fauve
Best Documentary Short – Black Sheep
Best Documentary Feature – Free Solo (Minding the Gap, RBG)
Best Original Score – If Beale Street Could Talk (BlackKklansman, Mary Poppins)
Best Original Song – Shallow (The Place Where Lost Things Go, I’ll Fight)
Best Sound Mixing – Bohemian Rhapsody (A Star is Born, First Man)
Best Sound Editing – Bohemian Rhapsody (A Quiet Place, First Man)
Best Production Design – The Favourite (First Man, Roma)
Best Costume Design – The Favourite (Black Panther, Mary Queen of Scots)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling – Vice (Mary Queen of Scots)
Best Visual Effects – Avengers: Infinity War (Ready Player One, Solo: A Star Wars Story)
Best Film Editing – Vice (Bohemian Rhapsody, Green Book)
As ever, I was quite set upon watching every nominated film; in the end, I didn’t quite manage anything remotely near that. Always the way, I suppose – hopefully I’ll do a better job across 2019. In terms of my own writing, there’s not a lot to point you towards (especially since Beautiful Boy wasn’t nominated), but I’d nonetheless highlight my interview with the team behind the sound design on A Quiet Place.
In the end, I got twelve of the twenty-four right, which I’ve underlined.